Break-even calculator

Is moving points to a partner worth more than your simplest fixed-value option? Enter what the award costs and what the same thing costs in cash. Ratios and live bonuses come from the tracker.

Ratio and bonus from the tracker, checked Oct 25, 2026
Marriott Bonvoy points
USD
USD
0.70¢
Fixed values are what the program pays without a transfer. Published valuations are opinions; each chip shows its source and date.
Points needed
29,630
Value per point
0.95¢
Points needed40,000 ÷ 1.35
29,630
Value per point($280.00 − $0.00) ÷ 29,630
0.945¢
Same points at the fallback29,630 × 0.70¢
$207.41
Transfer is worth more by
$72.59
Assumptions

Most programs move points in 1,000-point steps, so round up to the next allowed amount before transferring. The calculation ignores points you'd earn on a cash booking. Valuations and fallback values are opinions; set your own.

Break-even for every live bonus

Valuations
Break-even value per partner unit for every live bonus
TransferBonusBreak-even · TPGTPG partner valueBreak-even · FM RRVFM RRV partner valueVerdict
Amex MR → Aeromexico Rewards+20%1.04¢0.80¢0.78¢noneBelow TPG (only value published)
Citi ThankYou → Qatar Airways Privilege Club+35%1.41¢1.40¢1.11¢noneBelow TPG (only value published)
Amex MR → Air France-KLM Flying Blue+25%1.60¢1.40¢1.20¢1.30¢Depends whose value you use
Capital One → British Airways Club+20%1.54¢1.40¢1.21¢1.10¢Below both
Citi ThankYou → Cathay Pacific+10%1.73¢1.30¢1.36¢1.10¢Below both
Capital One → Virgin Red+30%1.42¢none1.12¢noneNo published value
Amex MR → Marriott Bonvoy+35%1.48¢0.75¢1.11¢0.73¢Below both
Break-even = source point value ÷ partner units per point (bonus included). Valuations: TPG Oct 1, 2026 · FM RRV Oct 8, 2026Valuations